ATP tennis predict — Denis Yevseyev vs Hanyi Liu

Challenger Hard Shanghai challenger · qualification - round of 16 09:00

Predicted probability

Denis Yevseyev

Kazakhstan

76.10%

Hanyi Liu

China

23.90%

Average Odds

1.37 / 2.87

Market probability

67.69% / 32.31%

Why This Prediction?

Denis Yevseyev is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1500 vs 1312), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1493 vs 1339) and more wins on hard courts (128 vs 8).

Player Comparison

1499.9 Elo 1311.9

1492.8 Elo (surface) 1338.6

203 Wins (Challenger) 8

128 Wins (surface) 8

6 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.132 Dominance ratio 0.722

444 Rank 912

33.3 Age 25.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Denis Yevseyev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Hanyi Liu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-08-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Denis Yevseyev Hanyi Liu

1st Serve In %

63.3%

70.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.6%

65.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.2%

35.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.1%

20.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.4%

52.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.10

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

70.2%

68.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.4%

66.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.5%

44.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.9%

21.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.0%

46.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.51

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Denis Yevseyev Hanyi Liu

Break Points Saved %

53.3%

33.3%

Break Points Converted %

45.9%

66.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.8%

55.1%

Break Points Converted %

35.5%

39.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Denis Yevseyev 0 – 0 Hanyi Liu

Hard Shanghai challenger · 2026-09-07

qualification - round of 16

Denis Yevseyev #444

Hanyi Liu #912

6-2 6-4

8 Aces 4

1 Double Faults 1

50 Service Points 56

28 First Serve In 39

23 First Serve Won 25

12 Second Serve Won 6

1 Break Points Saved 4

2 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.9

Denis Yevseyev vs Hanyi Liu — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Denis Yevseyev — Last 10

Hanyi Liu — Last 10