ATP tennis predict — Denis Yevseyev vs Dominic Stricker

Challenger Clay Zug challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Denis Yevseyev

Kazakhstan

18.18%

Dominic Stricker

Switzerland

81.82%

Average Odds

6.05 / 1.10

Market probability

15.38% / 84.62%

Why This Prediction?

Dominic Stricker is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1702 vs 1515), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1604 vs 1468) and a stronger serve (64.6% vs 53.8% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1515.3 Elo 1701.9

1468.5 Elo (surface) 1603.8

199 Wins (Challenger) 79

72 Wins (surface) 24

7 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.887 Dominance ratio 1.120

445 Rank 360

33.2 Age 23.9

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Denis Yevseyev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Dominic Stricker

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–5L · 54.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Denis Yevseyev Dominic Stricker

1st Serve In %

63.3%

58.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.6%

74.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.2%

46.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.1%

30.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.4%

45.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.62

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

70.2%

58.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.4%

71.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.5%

52.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.9%

29.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.0%

57.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.51

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Denis Yevseyev Dominic Stricker

Break Points Saved %

53.3%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

45.9%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.8%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

35.5%

43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Denis Yevseyev 0 – 0 Dominic Stricker

Clay Zug challenger · 2026-07-19

qualification - 1. round

Dominic Stricker #357

Denis Yevseyev #441

6-2 6-3

1 Aces 7

0 Double Faults 0

52 Service Points 54

42 First Serve In 28

26 First Serve Won 24

2 Second Serve Won 13

2 Break Points Saved 5

6 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 6.0

Denis Yevseyev vs Dominic Stricker — Prediction