ATP tennis predict — Denis Shapovalov vs Vit Kopriva

ATP Hard Chengdu · R16 07:10

Predicted probability

Denis Shapovalov

Canada

73.34%

Vit Kopriva

Czech Republic

26.66%

Average Odds

1.25 / 3.89

Market probability

75.68% / 24.32%

Why This Prediction?

Denis Shapovalov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1958 vs 1757), a higher Elo rating (1933 vs 1829) and more wins on hard courts (199 vs 22).

Player Comparison

1933.5 Elo 1828.8

1958.2 Elo (surface) 1757.0

263 Wins 70

199 Wins (surface) 22

9 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.034 Dominance ratio 0.967

50 Rank 71

27.4 Age 29.3

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Denis Shapovalov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Vit Kopriva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Denis Shapovalov Vit Kopriva

1st Serve In %

55.7%

59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

69.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.0%

51.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.1%

26.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.1%

53.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.42

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.3%

60.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.2%

67.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.8%

53.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.9%

33.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.2%

50.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.42

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Denis Shapovalov Vit Kopriva

Break Points Saved %

58.8%

61.9%

Break Points Converted %

42.0%

51.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.1%

63.9%

Break Points Converted %

43.5%

38.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Denis Shapovalov 0 – 1 Vit Kopriva

Clay Gstaad · 2021-07-19

R16

Vit Kopriva #249

Denis Shapovalov #10

2-6 6-3 6-2

3 Aces 11

4 Double Faults 10

71 Service Points 82

33 First Serve In 48

27 First Serve Won 36

19 Second Serve Won 11

3 Break Points Saved 4

6 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Denis Shapovalov vs Vit Kopriva — Prediction