ATP tennis predict — David Poljak vs Oleksii Krutykh

Challenger Hard Hamburg challenger · qualification - 1. round 13:30

Predicted probability

David Poljak

Czech Republic

23.94%

Oleksii Krutykh

Ukraine

76.06%

Average Odds

5.74 / 1.10

Market probability

16.08% / 83.92%

Why This Prediction?

Oleksii Krutykh is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1556 vs 1356), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1472 vs 1395) and more wins on hard courts (7 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1356.4 Elo 1556.1

1395.3 Elo (surface) 1471.6

48 Wins (Challenger) 96

26 Wins (surface) 24

6 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.200 Dominance ratio 1.291

1105 Rank 522

30.2 Age 26.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

David Poljak

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Oleksii Krutykh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

David Poljak Oleksii Krutykh

1st Serve In %

—

58.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

67.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

50.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

25.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

54.9%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.0%

57.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.8%

68.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.3%

50.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.2%

30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.6%

47.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

David Poljak Oleksii Krutykh

Break Points Saved %

—

56.1%

Break Points Converted %

—

34.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.2%

63.4%

Break Points Converted %

42.0%

45.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

David Poljak 0 – 0 Oleksii Krutykh

Hard Hamburg challenger · 2026-08-09

qualification - 1. round

Oleksii Krutykh #522

David Poljak #1105

7-6 6-1

11 Aces 4

6 Double Faults 4

85 Service Points 57

49 First Serve In 39

33 First Serve Won 34

16 Second Serve Won 11

8 Break Points Saved 0

10 Break Points Faced 0

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 5.7

David Poljak vs Oleksii Krutykh — Prediction