ATP tennis predict — David Jorda Sanchis vs Lucas Poullain

Challenger Hard Rennes challenger · 1. round 16:00

Predicted probability

David Jorda Sanchis

Spain

26.30%

Lucas Poullain

France

73.70%

Average Odds

2.78 / 1.41

Market probability

33.65% / 66.35%

Why This Prediction?

Lucas Poullain is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1693 vs 1404), a higher Elo rating (1694 vs 1618) and a better head-to-head record against David Jorda Sanchis (2-0).

Player Comparison

1618.1 Elo 1693.6

1404.3 Elo (surface) 1692.6

91 Wins (Challenger) 70

21 Wins (surface) 60

7 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 2

0.930 Dominance ratio 1.017

192 Rank 343

32.2 Age 30.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

David Jorda Sanchis

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–5L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Lucas Poullain

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

David Jorda Sanchis Lucas Poullain

1st Serve In %

61.4%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.9%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.37

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.0%

61.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.4%

63.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

44.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.4%

33.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.8%

58.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

David Jorda Sanchis Lucas Poullain

Break Points Saved %

60.9%

—

Break Points Converted %

34.5%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.2%

52.7%

Break Points Converted %

43.5%

46.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

David Jorda Sanchis 0 – 2 Lucas Poullain

Hard Rennes challenger · 2026-09-14

1. round

Lucas Poullain #337

David Jorda Sanchis #211

7-5 6-4

4 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

35 First Serve Won 30

10 Second Serve Won 19

4 Break Points Saved 3

6 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.8

Hard Orleans CH · 2025-09-22

Q1

Lucas Poullain #382

David Jorda Sanchis #407

6-4 7-6(3)

1 Aces 3

1 Double Faults 1

62 Service Points 67

36 First Serve In 34

22 First Serve Won 23

17 Second Serve Won 14

1 Break Points Saved 0

4 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Lyon CH · 2024-06-10

Q2

Lucas Poullain #355

David Jorda Sanchis #326

7-6(3) 7-5

0 Aces 2

3 Double Faults 4

71 Service Points 78

40 First Serve In 44

30 First Serve Won 32

18 Second Serve Won 15

1 Break Points Saved 4

3 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

David Jorda Sanchis vs Lucas Poullain — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

David Jorda Sanchis — Last 10

Lucas Poullain — Last 10