ATP tennis predict — David Jorda Sanchis vs Jack Pinnington Jones

Challenger Hard Brownsburg challenger · 1. round 22:00

Predicted probability

David Jorda Sanchis

Spain

37.63%

Jack Pinnington Jones

Great Britain

62.37%

Average Odds

3.37 / 1.29

Market probability

27.68% / 72.32%

Why This Prediction?

Jack Pinnington Jones is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1621 vs 1583), more wins on hard courts (5 vs 0) and a stronger serve (61.0% vs 56.6% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1582.8 Elo 1621.4

1473.1 Elo (surface) 1492.0

91 Wins (Challenger) 50

21 Wins (surface) 32

9 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.989 Dominance ratio 0.894

186 Rank 172

32.2 Age 23.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

David Jorda Sanchis

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–5L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Jack Pinnington Jones

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

David Jorda Sanchis Jack Pinnington Jones

1st Serve In %

61.4%

61.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

69.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.2%

47.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.2%

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.9%

54.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.37

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.0%

64.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.4%

66.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

42.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.4%

30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.8%

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

David Jorda Sanchis Jack Pinnington Jones

Break Points Saved %

60.9%

54.8%

Break Points Converted %

34.5%

37.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.2%

40.6%

Break Points Converted %

43.5%

40.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

David Jorda Sanchis 0 – 0 Jack Pinnington Jones

Hard Brownsburg challenger · 2026-08-11

1. round

Jack Pinnington Jones #172

David Jorda Sanchis #186

6-4 6-2

3 Aces 3

4 Double Faults 1

50 Service Points 47

32 First Serve In 34

23 First Serve Won 28

4 Second Serve Won 6

1 Break Points Saved 1

5 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.4

David Jorda Sanchis vs Jack Pinnington Jones — Prediction