ATP tennis predict — David Jorda Sanchis vs Inaki Montes De La Torre

Challenger Hard Porto challenger · SF 12:00

Predicted probability

David Jorda Sanchis

Spain

29.18%

Inaki Montes De La Torre

Spain

70.82%

Average Odds

3.05 / 1.34

Market probability

30.52% / 69.48%

Why This Prediction?

Inaki Montes De La Torre is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1780 vs 1543), a higher Elo rating (1772 vs 1680) and a stronger return game (43.6% vs 34.5% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1679.8 Elo 1771.6

1542.7 Elo (surface) 1780.0

95 Wins (Challenger) 82

25 Wins (surface) 54

7 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.930 Dominance ratio 1.145

212 Rank 228

32.3 Age 24.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

David Jorda Sanchis

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Inaki Montes De La Torre

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–2L · 81.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

David Jorda Sanchis Inaki Montes De La Torre

1st Serve In %

61.4%

58.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

55.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.2%

46.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.2%

32.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.9%

54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.37

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.53

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.9%

59.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.7%

68.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.7%

51.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

35.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.0%

54.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

David Jorda Sanchis Inaki Montes De La Torre

Break Points Saved %

60.9%

56.7%

Break Points Converted %

34.5%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.0%

42.9%

Break Points Converted %

47.5%

31.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

David Jorda Sanchis and Inaki Montes De La Torre have never played each other.

David Jorda Sanchis vs Inaki Montes De La Torre — Prediction