ATP tennis predict — David Jorda Sanchis vs Harry Wendelken

Challenger Hard St. Tropez challenger · 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

David Jorda Sanchis

Spain

18.25%

Harry Wendelken

Great Britain

81.75%

Average Odds

3.00 / 1.36

Market probability

31.19% / 68.81%

Why This Prediction?

Harry Wendelken is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1775 vs 1397), a higher Elo rating (1763 vs 1606) and more wins on hard courts (42 vs 21).

Player Comparison

1606.2 Elo 1763.0

1396.7 Elo (surface) 1774.6

91 Wins (Challenger) 48

21 Wins (surface) 42

7 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.930 Dominance ratio 1.071

216 Rank 178

32.3 Age 24.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

David Jorda Sanchis

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–5L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Harry Wendelken

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

David Jorda Sanchis Harry Wendelken

1st Serve In %

61.4%

54.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

69.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.2%

49.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.2%

28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.9%

46.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.37

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.0%

58.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.4%

69.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

48.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.4%

31.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.8%

56.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.61

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

David Jorda Sanchis Harry Wendelken

Break Points Saved %

60.9%

68.0%

Break Points Converted %

34.5%

39.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.2%

57.4%

Break Points Converted %

43.5%

44.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

David Jorda Sanchis 0 – 0 Harry Wendelken

Hard St. Tropez challenger · 2026-09-22

1. round

David Jorda Sanchis #216

Harry Wendelken #178

6-2 6-4

9 Aces 1

0 Double Faults 5

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

25 First Serve Won 20

13 Second Serve Won 13

0 Break Points Saved 2

0 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3 Average Odds 1.4

David Jorda Sanchis vs Harry Wendelken — Prediction