ATP tennis predict — David Jorda Sanchis vs Dusan Lajovic

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 2. round 18:30

Predicted probability

David Jorda Sanchis

Spain

43.14%

Dusan Lajovic

Serbia

56.86%

Average Odds

3.45 / 1.28

Market probability

27.06% / 72.94%

Why This Prediction?

Dusan Lajovic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1658 vs 1472), more wins on hard courts (144 vs 1) and a higher Elo rating (1677 vs 1574).

Player Comparison

1574.3 Elo 1677.4

1471.9 Elo (surface) 1658.1

4 Wins 323

1 Wins (surface) 144

4 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.791 Dominance ratio 0.780

192 Rank 167

32.2 Age 36.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

David Jorda Sanchis

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–5L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Dusan Lajovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

David Jorda Sanchis Dusan Lajovic

1st Serve In %

61.4%

67.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.2%

48.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.2%

24.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.9%

40.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.37

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.0%

64.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.4%

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

51.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.4%

28.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.8%

52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

David Jorda Sanchis Dusan Lajovic

Break Points Saved %

60.9%

60.8%

Break Points Converted %

34.5%

28.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.2%

51.9%

Break Points Converted %

43.5%

45.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

David Jorda Sanchis 0 – 0 Dusan Lajovic

Hard US Open · 2026-08-26

qualification - 2. round

Dusan Lajovic #167

David Jorda Sanchis #192

7-5 7-6

2 Aces 5

5 Double Faults 0

87 Service Points 77

54 First Serve In 58

36 First Serve Won 45

18 Second Serve Won 10

6 Break Points Saved 1

8 Break Points Faced 2

22 Winners 19

30 Unforced Errors 16

1.3 Average Odds 3.5

David Jorda Sanchis vs Dusan Lajovic — Prediction