ATP tennis predict — Darwin Blanch vs Patrick Maloney

Challenger Hard Columbus 3 challenger · 1. round 16:00

Predicted probability

Darwin Blanch

USA

79.77%

Patrick Maloney

USA

20.23%

Average Odds

1.13 / 4.92

Market probability

81.32% / 18.68%

Why This Prediction?

Darwin Blanch is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1758 vs 1581), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1708 vs 1526) and a stronger serve (65.8% vs 59.7% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1757.5 Elo 1581.1

1708.3 Elo (surface) 1526.2

35 Wins (Challenger) 37

23 Wins (surface) 26

8 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.075 Dominance ratio 0.867

163 Rank -

19.0 Age 26.6

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Darwin Blanch

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Patrick Maloney

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Darwin Blanch Patrick Maloney

1st Serve In %

58.6%

62.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.1%

73.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%

50.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.0%

23.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.2%

52.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.95

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.47

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.0%

65.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.5%

69.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.7%

48.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.1%

25.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.1%

54.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.66

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Darwin Blanch Patrick Maloney

Break Points Saved %

56.5%

41.7%

Break Points Converted %

33.9%

13.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.8%

55.4%

Break Points Converted %

39.7%

37.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Darwin Blanch and Patrick Maloney have never played each other.

Darwin Blanch vs Patrick Maloney — Prediction