ATP tennis predict — Darwin Blanch vs Daniel Milavsky

Challenger Hard Columbus 3 challenger · R16 18:30

Predicted probability

Darwin Blanch

USA

75.57%

Daniel Milavsky

USA

24.43%

Average Odds

1.44 / 2.59

Market probability

64.27% / 35.73%

Why This Prediction?

Darwin Blanch is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1768 vs 1677), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1721 vs 1621) and a stronger serve (65.8% vs 60.5% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1768.2 Elo 1676.8

1720.5 Elo (surface) 1621.1

36 Wins (Challenger) 33

24 Wins (surface) 28

9 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.075 Dominance ratio 1.013

163 Rank 316

19.0 Age 25.0

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Darwin Blanch

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Daniel Milavsky

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–3L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–7L · 36.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Darwin Blanch Daniel Milavsky

1st Serve In %

58.6%

65.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.1%

70.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%

37.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.0%

23.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.2%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.64

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

71.2%

58.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.4%

71.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

60.0%

44.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.4%

31.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

60.0%

51.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.53

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Darwin Blanch Daniel Milavsky

Break Points Saved %

56.5%

70.0%

Break Points Converted %

33.9%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

59.0%

Break Points Converted %

36.1%

39.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Darwin Blanch 0 – 0 Daniel Milavsky

Hard Columbus 3 challenger · 2026-09-30

R16

Darwin Blanch #163

Daniel Milavsky #316

6-3 1-6 6-3

14 Aces 6

4 Double Faults 3

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

40 First Serve Won 31

22 Second Serve Won 14

11 Break Points Saved 4

14 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.6

Darwin Blanch vs Daniel Milavsky — Prediction