ATP tennis predict — Darwin Blanch vs Andres Andrade

Challenger Hard San Diego 2 challenger · R16 22:30

Predicted probability

Darwin Blanch

USA

70.87%

Andres Andrade

Ecuador

29.13%

Average Odds

1.38 / 2.10

Market probability

60.34% / 39.66%

Why This Prediction?

Darwin Blanch is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1780 vs 1743), a stronger serve (65.8% vs 55.5% of service points won) and a lighter recent match load (30 vs 31 games played recently).

Player Comparison

1779.9 Elo 1742.6

1732.4 Elo (surface) 1726.5

35 Wins (Challenger) 76

23 Wins (surface) 41

9 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.075 Dominance ratio 0.791

166 Rank 206

19.0 Age 27.8

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Darwin Blanch

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Andres Andrade

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Darwin Blanch Andres Andrade

1st Serve In %

58.6%

62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.1%

70.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.0%

32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.2%

54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.7%

57.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.2%

63.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.3%

46.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.8%

26.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.7%

49.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Darwin Blanch Andres Andrade

Break Points Saved %

56.5%

80.0%

Break Points Converted %

33.9%

55.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.3%

45.6%

Break Points Converted %

42.6%

35.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Darwin Blanch and Andres Andrade have never played each other.

Darwin Blanch vs Andres Andrade — Prediction