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Daniil Ostapenkov vs Ilija Palavestra — Prediction

Challenger Hard Columbus 3 challenger · qualification - 1. round 00:40

Predicted probability

Daniil Ostapenkov

Belarus

80.19%

Average Odds

1.30  /  3.30

Market probability

71.74%  /  28.26%

Why This Prediction?

Daniil Ostapenkov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1529 vs 1460), more career match wins (13 vs 0) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1498 vs 1452).

Player Comparison

1529.0 Elo 1460.0
1497.5 Elo (surface) 1452.2
13 Wins (Challenger) 0
9 Wins (surface) 0
8 Last 15 form 0
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.012 Dominance ratio 0.765
553 Rank 1642
23.4 Age 19.1
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Daniil Ostapenkov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Ilija Palavestra

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

No market odds recorded for this player yet.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniil Ostapenkov Ilija Palavestra

1st Serve In %

52.3%
—

1st Serve Points Won %

59.3%
—

2nd Serve Points Won %

34.9%
—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.0%
—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.2%
—

Aces per Service Game

0.12
—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.56
—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.5%
56.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.5%
74.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.2%
40.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.3%
14.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.8%
52.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.38
0.08

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39
0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniil Ostapenkov Ilija Palavestra

Break Points Saved %

50.0%
—

Break Points Converted %

63.6%
—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

49.2%
33.3%

Break Points Converted %

43.2%
14.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Daniil Ostapenkov and Ilija Palavestra have never played each other.

Daniil Ostapenkov — Last 10

L W W L L L W L W L

Ilija Palavestra — Last 1

L