ATP tennis predict — Daniil Glinka vs Ugo Blanchet

Challenger Hard St. Tropez challenger · R16 12:00

Predicted probability

Daniil Glinka

Estonia

54.34%

Ugo Blanchet

France

45.66%

Average Odds

1.78 / 1.95

Market probability

52.28% / 47.72%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1714.4 Elo 1683.7

1726.1 Elo (surface) 1725.3

81 Wins (Challenger) 80

75 Wins (surface) 45

10 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.159 Dominance ratio 0.993

173 Rank 320

26.4 Age 27.7

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Daniil Glinka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–3L · 72.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Ugo Blanchet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniil Glinka Ugo Blanchet

1st Serve In %

61.6%

52.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.7%

69.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%

53.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.2%

23.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.1%

47.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.6%

60.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.3%

68.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.5%

55.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.9%

28.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.6%

41.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniil Glinka Ugo Blanchet

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

61.7%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

37.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.2%

68.3%

Break Points Converted %

41.6%

36.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Daniil Glinka 0 – 0 Ugo Blanchet

Hard St. Tropez challenger · 2026-09-23

R16

Daniil Glinka #173

Ugo Blanchet #320

6-4 3-6 6-4

7 Aces 9

3 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

31 First Serve Won 41

23 Second Serve Won 14

1 Break Points Saved 2

3 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 1.9

Daniil Glinka vs Ugo Blanchet — Prediction