ATP tennis predict — Daniil Glinka vs Henry Bernet

Challenger Hard Mouilleron-Le-Captif challenger · 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Daniil Glinka

Estonia

68.49%

Henry Bernet

Switzerland

31.51%

Average Odds

1.79 / 1.87

Market probability

51.09% / 48.91%

Why This Prediction?

Daniil Glinka is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1729 vs 1428), a higher Elo rating (1722 vs 1622) and a stronger return game (40.3% vs 34.1% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1722.1 Elo 1622.1

1728.9 Elo (surface) 1427.8

82 Wins (Challenger) 13

76 Wins (surface) 1

10 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.159 Dominance ratio 0.930

173 Rank 482

26.4 Age 19.7

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Daniil Glinka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–3L · 72.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Henry Bernet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniil Glinka Henry Bernet

1st Serve In %

61.6%

63.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.7%

71.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%

53.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.2%

23.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.1%

47.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.68

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.2%

61.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.2%

72.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.0%

51.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.2%

25.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.7%

44.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniil Glinka Henry Bernet

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

64.2%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

32.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.5%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

44.6%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Daniil Glinka and Henry Bernet have never played each other.

Daniil Glinka vs Henry Bernet — Prediction