ATP tennis predict — Daniil Glinka vs Harold Mayot

Challenger Hard Kingston challenger · QF 19:00

Predicted probability

Daniil Glinka

Estonia

46.93%

Harold Mayot

France

53.07%

Average Odds

2.25 / 1.59

Market probability

41.41% / 58.59%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1638.9 Elo 1650.7

1667.3 Elo (surface) 1667.8

77 Wins (Challenger) 132

71 Wins (surface) 85

9 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.211 Dominance ratio 1.209

160 Rank 252

26.3 Age 24.5

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Daniil Glinka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–3L · 72.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Harold Mayot

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–7L · 56.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniil Glinka Harold Mayot

1st Serve In %

61.6%

63.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.7%

70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%

45.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.2%

27.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.1%

40.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.60

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.6%

62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.3%

76.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.5%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.9%

41.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.6%

68.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniil Glinka Harold Mayot

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

64.1%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

35.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.2%

67.7%

Break Points Converted %

41.6%

39.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Daniil Glinka 0 – 0 Harold Mayot

Hard Kingston challenger · 2026-08-20

QF

Daniil Glinka #160

Harold Mayot #252

6-3 6-4

2 Aces 3

3 Double Faults 2

63 Service Points 71

42 First Serve In 41

31 First Serve Won 24

13 Second Serve Won 15

2 Break Points Saved 8

3 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.2 Average Odds 1.6

Daniil Glinka vs Harold Mayot — Prediction