ATP tennis predict — Daniil Glinka vs Gauthier Onclin

Challenger Hard Villena challenger · 1. round 11:00

Predicted probability

Daniil Glinka

Estonia

51.04%

Gauthier Onclin

Belgium

48.96%

Average Odds

1.82 / 1.83

Market probability

50.14% / 49.86%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1701.2 Elo 1693.8

1699.9 Elo (surface) 1674.7

82 Wins (Challenger) 85

76 Wins (surface) 43

9 Last 15 form 8

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.159 Dominance ratio 1.133

173 Rank 169

26.4 Age 25.6

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Daniil Glinka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Gauthier Onclin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–6L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniil Glinka Gauthier Onclin

1st Serve In %

61.6%

60.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.7%

70.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%

45.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.2%

26.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.1%

54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.9%

59.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.3%

71.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.4%

52.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.4%

33.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.5%

48.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniil Glinka Gauthier Onclin

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

59.7%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

47.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.4%

Break Points Converted %

42.2%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Daniil Glinka 1 – 0 Gauthier Onclin

Hard Oeiras 1 CH · 2026-01-19

R32

Daniil Glinka #200

Gauthier Onclin #269

5-7 7-6(6) 6-4

7 Aces 3

6 Double Faults 5

124 Service Points 112

65 First Serve In 61

42 First Serve Won 39

25 Second Serve Won 23

9 Break Points Saved 6

16 Break Points Faced 13

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Daniil Glinka vs Gauthier Onclin — Prediction