ATP tennis predict — Daniil Glinka vs Florent Bax

Challenger Hard Kingston challenger · 1. round 17:00

Predicted probability

Daniil Glinka

Estonia

60.50%

Florent Bax

France

39.50%

Average Odds

1.56 / 2.31

Market probability

59.69% / 40.31%

Why This Prediction?

Daniil Glinka is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1609 vs 1518), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1640 vs 1553) and more wins on hard courts (2 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1609.1 Elo 1518.3

1639.7 Elo (surface) 1552.5

75 Wins (Challenger) 39

69 Wins (surface) 25

7 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.105 Dominance ratio 0.942

160 Rank 247

26.3 Age 27.2

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Daniil Glinka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–3L · 72.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Florent Bax

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-10.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniil Glinka Florent Bax

1st Serve In %

61.6%

74.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.7%

85.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%

57.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.2%

35.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.1%

41.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

1.00

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.6%

59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.3%

69.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.5%

48.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.9%

23.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.6%

52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniil Glinka Florent Bax

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

100.0%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.2%

51.9%

Break Points Converted %

41.6%

27.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Daniil Glinka 0 – 0 Florent Bax

Hard Kingston challenger · 2026-08-18

1. round

Daniil Glinka #160

Florent Bax #247

2-6 6-3 6-0

2 Aces 0

6 Double Faults 3

79 Service Points 83

47 First Serve In 47

28 First Serve Won 27

14 Second Serve Won 13

4 Break Points Saved 12

8 Break Points Faced 19

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.3

Daniil Glinka vs Florent Bax — Prediction