ATP tennis predict — Daniil Glinka vs Elias Ymer

Challenger Hard Kingston challenger · R16 17:00

Predicted probability

Daniil Glinka

Estonia

51.45%

Elias Ymer

Sweden

48.55%

Average Odds

1.79 / 1.89

Market probability

51.36% / 48.64%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1621.7 Elo 1630.3

1653.1 Elo (surface) 1584.5

76 Wins (Challenger) 232

70 Wins (surface) 89

8 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.106 Dominance ratio 1.092

160 Rank 212

26.3 Age 30.4

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Daniil Glinka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–3L · 72.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Elias Ymer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniil Glinka Elias Ymer

1st Serve In %

61.6%

60.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.7%

71.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%

51.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.2%

23.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.1%

48.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.6%

59.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.3%

67.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.9%

24.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.6%

45.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.59

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniil Glinka Elias Ymer

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

62.7%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

39.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.2%

64.1%

Break Points Converted %

41.6%

33.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Daniil Glinka 0 – 0 Elias Ymer

Hard Kingston challenger · 2026-08-19

R16

Daniil Glinka #160

Elias Ymer #212

6-4 6-3

3 Aces 4

0 Double Faults 8

40 Service Points 66

25 First Serve In 30

21 First Serve Won 20

12 Second Serve Won 17

0 Break Points Saved 5

1 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 1.9

Daniil Glinka vs Elias Ymer — Prediction