ATP tennis predict — Daniele Rapagnetta vs George Lazarov

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Daniele Rapagnetta

Italy

86.41%

George Lazarov

Bulgaria

13.59%

Average Odds

1.36 / 2.92

Market probability

68.22% / 31.78%

Why This Prediction?

Daniele Rapagnetta is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1577 vs 1445), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1579 vs 1445) and better recent form (6 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0).

Player Comparison

1576.5 Elo 1444.7

1578.6 Elo (surface) 1445.1

6 Wins (Challenger) 0

6 Wins (surface) 0

6 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.946 Dominance ratio 0.928

734 Rank 1108

19.7 Age 21.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Daniele Rapagnetta

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

George Lazarov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniele Rapagnetta George Lazarov

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

61.7%

68.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.5%

59.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.5%

38.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.6%

38.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.7%

53.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.15

0.09

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniele Rapagnetta George Lazarov

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

64.2%

56.6%

Break Points Converted %

35.5%

49.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Daniele Rapagnetta 0 – 0 George Lazarov

Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · 2026-08-02

qualification - 1. round

George Lazarov #1108

Daniele Rapagnetta #734

6-3 6-0

2 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 1

47 Service Points 50

22 First Serve In 37

11 First Serve Won 27

11 Second Serve Won 9

3 Break Points Saved 2

7 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.9 Average Odds 1.4

Daniele Rapagnetta vs George Lazarov — Prediction