ATP tennis predict — Daniel Siniakov vs Yanaki Milev

Challenger Clay Palermo challenger · qualification - round of 16 11:00

Predicted probability

Daniel Siniakov

Czech Republic

32.77%

Yanaki Milev

Bulgaria

67.23%

Average Odds

1.86 / 1.84

Market probability

49.73% / 50.27%

Why This Prediction?

Yanaki Milev is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1587 vs 1460), a higher Elo rating (1588 vs 1454) and more wins on clay courts (2 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1454.5 Elo 1588.2

1459.5 Elo (surface) 1587.0

10 Wins (Challenger) 22

10 Wins (surface) 21

7 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.093 Dominance ratio 1.019

511 Rank 611

23.7 Age 22.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Daniel Siniakov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Yanaki Milev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-08-03.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Siniakov Yanaki Milev

1st Serve In %

—

58.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

63.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

45.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

33.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

48.6%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.50

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.7%

64.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.3%

63.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.3%

46.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.1%

33.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.2%

55.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.27

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Siniakov Yanaki Milev

Break Points Saved %

—

51.6%

Break Points Converted %

—

31.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.6%

62.5%

Break Points Converted %

43.6%

35.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Daniel Siniakov and Yanaki Milev have never played each other.

Daniel Siniakov vs Yanaki Milev — Prediction