ATP tennis predict — Daniel Siniakov vs William Rejchtman Vinciguerra

Challenger Clay Liberec challenger · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Daniel Siniakov

Czech Republic

68.30%

William Rejchtman Vinciguerra

Sweden

31.70%

Average Odds

1.12 / 5.50

Market probability

83.08% / 16.92%

Why This Prediction?

Daniel Siniakov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1447 vs 1358), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1459 vs 1388) and more career match wins (7 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1447.3 Elo 1358.1

1458.8 Elo (surface) 1388.1

7 Wins (Challenger) 1

7 Wins (surface) 1

5 Last 15 form 1

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.060 Dominance ratio 1.271

578 Rank 607

23.5 Age None

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Daniel Siniakov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

William Rejchtman Vinciguerra

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Siniakov William Rejchtman Vinciguerra

1st Serve In %

—

62.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

69.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

58.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

27.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

38.6%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.1%

56.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.9%

67.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.2%

52.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.3%

31.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.8%

48.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.26

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.45

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Siniakov William Rejchtman Vinciguerra

Break Points Saved %

—

61.9%

Break Points Converted %

—

28.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.2%

39.1%

Break Points Converted %

41.8%

38.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Daniel Siniakov 0 – 0 William Rejchtman Vinciguerra

Clay Liberec challenger · 2026-07-27

qualification - round of 16

William Rejchtman Vinciguerra #938

Daniel Siniakov #448

5-7 6-3 6-2

4 Aces 3

9 Double Faults 4

81 Service Points 95

57 First Serve In 49

36 First Serve Won 29

9 Second Serve Won 27

3 Break Points Saved 4

10 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

5.5 Average Odds 1.1

Daniel Siniakov vs William Rejchtman Vinciguerra — Prediction