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Daniel Siniakov vs Daniele Rapagnetta — Prediction

Challenger Clay Palermo challenger · qualification - 1. round 11:30

Predicted probability

Daniel Siniakov

Czech Republic

42.14%

Average Odds

1.78  /  1.94

Market probability

52.15%  /  47.85%

Why This Prediction?

Daniele Rapagnetta is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1501 vs 1418), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1491 vs 1424) and a stronger return game (42.3% vs 41.2% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1418.1 Elo 1501.1
1424.1 Elo (surface) 1490.6
9 Wins (Challenger) 6
9 Wins (surface) 6
6 Last 15 form 6
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.093 Dominance ratio 1.045
511 Rank 665
23.7 Age 19.8
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Daniel Siniakov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Daniele Rapagnetta

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Siniakov Daniele Rapagnetta

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

65.1%
61.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.9%
70.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.2%
52.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.3%
31.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.8%
53.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.26
0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26
0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Siniakov Daniele Rapagnetta

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

55.2%
64.2%

Break Points Converted %

41.8%
35.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Daniel Siniakov and Daniele Rapagnetta have never played each other.

Daniel Siniakov — Last 10

L W W L L L L L W W

Daniele Rapagnetta — Last 10

L L L W W W L W L W