ATP tennis predict — Daniel Rincon vs Laslo Djere

Challenger Hard Porto challenger · R16 12:00

Predicted probability

Daniel Rincon

Spain

45.16%

Laslo Djere

Serbia

54.84%

Average Odds

2.10 / 1.68

Market probability

44.44% / 55.56%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1734.4 Elo 1831.6

1706.8 Elo (surface) 1694.2

109 Wins (Challenger) 134

33 Wins (surface) 14

7 Last 15 form 10

1 Head-to-head wins 1

1.016 Dominance ratio 0.994

257 Rank 181

23.7 Age 31.3

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Daniel Rincon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–5L · 44.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-06-11.

Laslo Djere

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–1L · 87.5%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–5L · 44.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Rincon Laslo Djere

1st Serve In %

60.5%

61.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.9%

71.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.2%

49.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.2%

24.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.6%

48.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.4%

66.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.7%

68.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.2%

53.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.5%

25.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.4%

45.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.11

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Rincon Laslo Djere

Break Points Saved %

63.5%

70.5%

Break Points Converted %

33.8%

37.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

67.4%

59.4%

Break Points Converted %

35.8%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Daniel Rincon 1 – 1 Laslo Djere

Clay Braunschweig challenger · 2026-07-10

QF

Daniel Rincon #261

Laslo Djere #234

6-7 6-4 6-3

5 Aces 2

7 Double Faults 0

107 Service Points 112

68 First Serve In 73

48 First Serve Won 50

18 Second Serve Won 21

5 Break Points Saved 7

9 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3.1 Average Odds 1.3

Clay Barcelona · 2025-04-14

Q2

Laslo Djere #80

Daniel Rincon #226

6-3 7-5

3 Aces 3

2 Double Faults 1

55 Service Points 67

36 First Serve In 32

27 First Serve Won 23

9 Second Serve Won 15

0 Break Points Saved 4

1 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Daniel Rincon vs Laslo Djere — Prediction