ATP tennis predict — Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Challenger Clay San Marino challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Daniel Rincon

Spain

61.20%

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Bolivia

38.80%

Average Odds

1.64 / 2.17

Market probability

56.96% / 43.04%

Why This Prediction?

Daniel Rincon is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1707 vs 1569), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1721 vs 1600) and a stronger serve (64.7% vs 62.9% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1706.8 Elo 1569.1

1720.6 Elo (surface) 1600.3

105 Wins (Challenger) 86

76 Wins (surface) 79

10 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.139 Dominance ratio 1.134

660 Rank 202

23.6 Age 21.4

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Daniel Rincon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–5L · 44.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-06-11.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–7L · 22.2%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Rincon Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

1st Serve In %

60.5%

62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.9%

65.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.2%

53.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.2%

35.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.6%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.4%

57.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.0%

68.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.3%

50.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.8%

33.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.3%

50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Rincon Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Break Points Saved %

63.5%

62.1%

Break Points Converted %

33.8%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

69.4%

56.2%

Break Points Converted %

40.7%

42.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Daniel Rincon 0 – 0 Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Clay San Marino challenger · 2026-07-27

1. round

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo #157

Daniel Rincon #207

6-4 6-7 6-3

6 Aces 2

3 Double Faults 2

96 Service Points 98

51 First Serve In 59

39 First Serve Won 46

23 Second Serve Won 21

3 Break Points Saved 1

6 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.2 Average Odds 1.6

Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado Angelo — Prediction