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Daniel Milavsky vs Yi Zhou — Prediction

Challenger Hard Vancouver challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Yi Zhou

China

49.67%

Average Odds

2.61  /  1.45

Market probability

35.71%  /  64.29%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1635.7 Elo 1537.9
1556.4 Elo (surface) 1510.2
27 Wins (Challenger) 44
22 Wins (surface) 38
10 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.099 Dominance ratio 1.085
325 Rank 239
24.9 Age 21.4
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Daniel Milavsky

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–3L · 72.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–6L · 40.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Yi Zhou

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-08.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Milavsky Yi Zhou

1st Serve In %

65.5%
64.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.9%
72.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

37.9%
50.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.5%
25.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%
51.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.64
0.78

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27
0.12

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.1%
59.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.7%
70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%
53.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%
27.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.7%
49.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.44
0.54

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33
0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Milavsky Yi Zhou

Break Points Saved %

70.0%
66.7%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%
37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.8%
70.0%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%
41.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Daniel Milavsky 00 Yi Zhou

Hard Vancouver challenger · 2026-07-29

1. round

Daniel Milavsky #325

Yi Zhou #239

3-6 6-1 6-3
5 Aces 6
1 Double Faults 6
64 Service Points 83
42 First Serve In 43
32 First Serve Won 30
11 Second Serve Won 17
1 Break Points Saved 6
3 Break Points Faced 11
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
2.6 Average Odds 1.4

Daniel Milavsky — Last 10

L L L L W W W L W W

Yi Zhou — Last 10

L W W L L L W L W L