ATP tennis predict — Daniel Milavsky vs Thomas Fancutt

Challenger Hard Winnipeg challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Daniel Milavsky

USA

74.66%

Thomas Fancutt

Australia

25.34%

Average Odds

1.29 / 2.87

Market probability

68.99% / 31.01%

Why This Prediction?

Daniel Milavsky is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1610 vs 1448), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1491 vs 1453) and a stronger serve (64.1% vs 62.7% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1609.7 Elo 1447.7

1490.9 Elo (surface) 1452.6

23 Wins (Challenger) 41

18 Wins (surface) 35

9 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.032 Dominance ratio 0.956

335 Rank 851

24.8 Age 31.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Daniel Milavsky

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–3L · 72.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–6L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Thomas Fancutt

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Milavsky Thomas Fancutt

1st Serve In %

65.5%

54.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.9%

65.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

37.9%

51.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.5%

17.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

43.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.64

0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.1%

66.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.7%

67.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%

47.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%

17.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.7%

42.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Milavsky Thomas Fancutt

Break Points Saved %

70.0%

59.1%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.8%

61.2%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

21.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Daniel Milavsky 0 – 0 Thomas Fancutt

Hard Winnipeg challenger · 2026-07-19

qualification - 1. round

Daniel Milavsky #326

Thomas Fancutt #810

6-4 3-6 7-5

5 Aces 10

5 Double Faults 4

73 Service Points 93

49 First Serve In 57

42 First Serve Won 43

15 Second Serve Won 20

0 Break Points Saved 3

1 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 2.9

Daniel Milavsky vs Thomas Fancutt — Prediction