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Daniel Milavsky vs Lloyd Harris — Prediction

Challenger Hard Brownsburg challenger · SF 22:00

Predicted probability

Lloyd Harris

RSA

50.61%

Average Odds

2.74  /  1.40

Market probability

33.82%  /  66.18%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1712.5 Elo 1665.2
1653.8 Elo (surface) 1702.4
32 Wins (Challenger) 141
27 Wins (surface) 112
11 Last 15 form 10
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.011 Dominance ratio 1.007
306 Rank 179
24.9 Age 29.5
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Daniel Milavsky

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–3L · 72.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–6L · 40.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Lloyd Harris

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 13W–3L · 81.2%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Milavsky Lloyd Harris

1st Serve In %

65.5%
59.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.9%
74.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

37.9%
57.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.5%
29.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%
53.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.64
0.83

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27
0.10

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.1%
65.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.7%
71.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%
50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%
24.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.7%
51.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.44
0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33
0.10

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Milavsky Lloyd Harris

Break Points Saved %

70.0%
53.3%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%
43.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.8%
64.4%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%
35.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Daniel Milavsky 00 Lloyd Harris

Hard Brownsburg challenger · 2026-08-15
6-7 6-3 6-3
5 Aces 10
4 Double Faults 3
96 Service Points 91
61 First Serve In 70
42 First Serve Won 57
18 Second Serve Won 10
3 Break Points Saved 3
6 Break Points Faced 3
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.4 Average Odds 2.7

Daniel Milavsky — Last 10

L L L L W W W L W W

Lloyd Harris — Last 10

W W L W L W W W W L