ATP tennis predict — Daniel Milavsky vs Kaylan Bigun

Challenger Hard Vancouver challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Daniel Milavsky

USA

72.29%

Kaylan Bigun

USA

27.71%

Average Odds

1.33 / 2.88

Market probability

68.41% / 31.59%

Why This Prediction?

Daniel Milavsky is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1611 vs 1407), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1519 vs 1370) and a stronger serve (64.1% vs 59.4% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1611.3 Elo 1407.3

1518.7 Elo (surface) 1370.2

25 Wins (Challenger) 12

20 Wins (surface) 8

9 Last 15 form 2

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.059 Dominance ratio 0.990

326 Rank 536

24.9 Age 20.2

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Daniel Milavsky

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–3L · 72.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–6L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Kaylan Bigun

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Milavsky Kaylan Bigun

1st Serve In %

65.5%

38.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.9%

65.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

37.9%

47.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.5%

24.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

56.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.64

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.73

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.1%

59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.7%

68.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%

49.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%

33.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.7%

51.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Milavsky Kaylan Bigun

Break Points Saved %

70.0%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

16.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.8%

55.0%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

41.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Daniel Milavsky 1 – 0 Kaylan Bigun

Hard Vancouver challenger · 2026-07-27

qualification - 1. round

Daniel Milavsky #325

Kaylan Bigun #543

6-4 7-5

- Aces -

- Double Faults -

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

- First Serve Won -

- Second Serve Won -

- Break Points Saved -

- Break Points Faced -

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 2.9

Hard Cleveland CH · 2026-02-02

R32

Daniel Milavsky #441

Kaylan Bigun #710

6-4 6-3

10 Aces 6

2 Double Faults 6

70 Service Points 57

42 First Serve In 32

36 First Serve Won 25

11 Second Serve Won 8

7 Break Points Saved 3

8 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Daniel Milavsky vs Kaylan Bigun — Prediction