ATP tennis predict — Daniel Milavsky vs Felix Balshaw

Challenger Hard Brownsburg challenger · 1. round 02:50

Predicted probability

Daniel Milavsky

USA

41.77%

Felix Balshaw

France

58.23%

Average Odds

1.81 / 1.91

Market probability

51.34% / 48.66%

Why This Prediction?

Felix Balshaw is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1697 vs 1641), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1586 vs 1571) and fewer double faults per game (0.15 vs 0.18).

Player Comparison

1640.9 Elo 1697.2

1571.4 Elo (surface) 1586.1

29 Wins (Challenger) 19

24 Wins (surface) 6

11 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.925 Dominance ratio 1.136

306 Rank 248

24.9 Age 20.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Daniel Milavsky

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–3L · 72.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–6L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Felix Balshaw

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-06-11.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Milavsky Felix Balshaw

1st Serve In %

65.5%

53.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.9%

79.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

37.9%

57.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.5%

31.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

42.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.64

0.65

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.51

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.1%

63.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.7%

66.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%

50.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%

27.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.7%

47.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Milavsky Felix Balshaw

Break Points Saved %

70.0%

72.7%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.8%

59.2%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

47.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Daniel Milavsky 0 – 0 Felix Balshaw

Hard Brownsburg challenger · 2026-08-11

1. round

Daniel Milavsky #306

Felix Balshaw #248

5-7 7-5 7-6

9 Aces 10

6 Double Faults 3

125 Service Points 109

51 First Serve In 71

37 First Serve Won 48

33 Second Serve Won 18

6 Break Points Saved 4

12 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.1

Daniel Milavsky vs Felix Balshaw — Prediction