ATP tennis predict — Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan

Challenger Hard Granby challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Daniel Milavsky

USA

51.53%

Duncan Chan

Canada

48.47%

Average Odds

1.68 / 2.09

Market probability

55.44% / 44.56%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1616.8 Elo 1565.5

1482.5 Elo (surface) 1547.4

22 Wins (Challenger) 4

17 Wins (surface) 4

9 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.058 Dominance ratio 0.879

335 Rank 664

24.8 Age 21.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Daniel Milavsky

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–3L · 72.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–6L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Duncan Chan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-15.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Milavsky Duncan Chan

1st Serve In %

65.5%

48.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.9%

66.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

37.9%

54.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.5%

30.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

47.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.64

0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.41

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.1%

58.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.7%

70.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%

45.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%

32.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.7%

51.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Milavsky Duncan Chan

Break Points Saved %

70.0%

57.9%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

60.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.8%

55.2%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

40.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Daniel Milavsky 0 – 0 Duncan Chan

Hard Granby challenger · 2026-07-15

1. round

Daniel Milavsky #335

Duncan Chan #664

6-4 6-2

3 Aces 5

3 Double Faults 2

54 Service Points 52

33 First Serve In 30

24 First Serve Won 22

13 Second Serve Won 9

0 Break Points Saved 3

0 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 2.0

Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan — Prediction