ATP tennis predict — Daniel Milavsky vs Anton Shepp

Challenger Hard Winnipeg challenger · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Daniel Milavsky

USA

72.51%

Anton Shepp

New Zealand

27.49%

Average Odds

1.70 / 2.05

Market probability

54.67% / 45.33%

Why This Prediction?

Daniel Milavsky is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1625 vs 1571), more career match wins (24 vs 2) and a stronger serve (64.7% vs 59.2% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1624.6 Elo 1571.4

1516.3 Elo (surface) 1579.4

24 Wins (Challenger) 2

19 Wins (surface) 2

9 Last 15 form 2

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.046 Dominance ratio 0.849

326 Rank 494

24.8 Age 23.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Daniel Milavsky

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–3L · 72.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–6L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Anton Shepp

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-14.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Milavsky Anton Shepp

1st Serve In %

65.5%

60.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.9%

64.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

37.9%

42.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.5%

15.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.64

1.10

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.1%

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.7%

69.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%

48.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%

29.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.7%

46.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Milavsky Anton Shepp

Break Points Saved %

70.0%

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

100.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.8%

54.2%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

38.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Daniel Milavsky 0 – 0 Anton Shepp

Hard Winnipeg challenger · 2026-07-20

qualification - round of 16

Daniel Milavsky #326

Anton Shepp #494

6-3 6-1

4 Aces 2

1 Double Faults 2

60 Service Points 45

34 First Serve In 28

24 First Serve Won 19

15 Second Serve Won 2

3 Break Points Saved 3

4 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.0

Daniel Milavsky vs Anton Shepp — Prediction