ATP tennis predict — Daniel Masur vs Jurij Rodionov

Challenger Hard Cassis challenger · R16 12:00

Predicted probability

Daniel Masur

Germany

21.01%

Jurij Rodionov

Austria

78.99%

Average Odds

3.97 / 1.22

Market probability

23.51% / 76.49%

Why This Prediction?

Jurij Rodionov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1789 vs 1577), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1772 vs 1566) and more wins on hard courts (30 vs 5).

Player Comparison

1577.4 Elo 1788.6

1565.9 Elo (surface) 1771.6

215 Wins (Challenger) 238

134 Wins (surface) 165

7 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.034 Dominance ratio 1.021

378 Rank 143

31.8 Age 27.3

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Daniel Masur

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Jurij Rodionov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Masur Jurij Rodionov

1st Serve In %

62.5%

59.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.0%

72.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.5%

48.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.0%

28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.8%

43.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.61

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

43.3%

60.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.5%

70.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.4%

48.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.3%

30.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.0%

47.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Masur Jurij Rodionov

Break Points Saved %

64.9%

Break Points Converted %

40.4%

37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.8%

59.4%

Break Points Converted %

30.3%

31.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Daniel Masur 0 – 1 Jurij Rodionov

Hard Cassis challenger · 2026-09-09

R16

Daniel Masur #378

Jurij Rodionov #143

5-7 6-3 6-1

7 Aces 6

4 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

41 First Serve Won 39

16 Second Serve Won 15

7 Break Points Saved 12

9 Break Points Faced 17

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

4.0 Average Odds 1.2

Hard Manacor CH · 2025-08-26

QF

Jurij Rodionov #154

Daniel Masur #525

6-7(1) 7-6(2) 7-6(6)

13 Aces 10

3 Double Faults 5

160 Service Points 104

98 First Serve In 65

59 First Serve Won 50

35 Second Serve Won 20

12 Break Points Saved 1

17 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Daniel Masur vs Jurij Rodionov — Prediction