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Daniel Masur vs Facundo Mena — Prediction

Challenger Clay Augsburg challenger · QF 12:00

Predicted probability

Daniel Masur

Germany

45.75%

Facundo Mena

Argentina

54.25%

Average Odds

2.05  /  1.70

Market probability

45.33%  /  54.67%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1536.3 Elo 1570.1
1515.1 Elo (surface) 1608.3
214 Wins (Challenger) 196
77 Wins (surface) 171
8 Last 15 form 6
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.181 Dominance ratio 1.249
392 Rank 345
31.8 Age 33.9
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Daniel Masur

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Facundo Mena

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–4L · 55.6%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Masur Facundo Mena

1st Serve In %

62.5%
60.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.0%
69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.5%
46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.0%
26.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.8%
41.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.48
0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26
0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

43.3%
63.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.5%
70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.4%
46.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.3%
31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.0%
48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.44
0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26
0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Masur Facundo Mena

Break Points Saved %

64.9%
54.5%

Break Points Converted %

40.4%
25.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.8%
64.6%

Break Points Converted %

30.3%
34.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Daniel Masur 00 Facundo Mena

Clay Augsburg challenger · 2026-08-27
7-6 6-1
0 Aces 8
4 Double Faults 0
60 Service Points 57
33 First Serve In 43
25 First Serve Won 37
12 Second Serve Won 8
3 Break Points Saved 0
5 Break Points Faced 0
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.7 Average Odds 2.0

Daniel Masur — Last 10

W W W L W W L W W W

Facundo Mena — Last 10

W W W W W W W L W W