ATP tennis predict — Daniel Masur vs Daniel De Jonge

Challenger Hard Rennes challenger · qualification - round of 16 14:00

Predicted probability

Daniel Masur

Germany

79.56%

Daniel De Jonge

Netherlands

20.44%

Average Odds

1.31 / 3.24

Market probability

71.21% / 28.79%

Why This Prediction?

Daniel Masur is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1608 vs 1477), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1607 vs 1536) and more career match wins (218 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1608.3 Elo 1476.9

1606.6 Elo (surface) 1535.8

218 Wins (Challenger) 2

137 Wins (surface) 1

8 Last 15 form 2

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.034 Dominance ratio 0.917

378 Rank 568

31.8 Age 27.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Daniel Masur

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Daniel De Jonge

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Masur Daniel De Jonge

1st Serve In %

62.5%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

70.0%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.8%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.48

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

43.3%

58.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.5%

69.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.4%

54.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.3%

27.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.0%

50.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.67

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Masur Daniel De Jonge

Break Points Saved %

64.9%

—

Break Points Converted %

40.4%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.8%

57.5%

Break Points Converted %

30.3%

48.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Daniel Masur 0 – 0 Daniel De Jonge

Hard Rennes challenger · 2026-09-14

qualification - round of 16

Daniel Masur #363

Daniel De Jonge #567

7-6 4-6 7-6

9 Aces 12

1 Double Faults 0

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

57 First Serve Won 62

12 Second Serve Won 13

0 Break Points Saved 3

4 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.2

Daniel Masur vs Daniel De Jonge — Prediction