ATP tennis predict — Daniel Masur vs Adrien Gobat

Challenger Hard Rennes challenger · qualification - 1. round 17:30

Predicted probability

Daniel Masur

Germany

74.68%

Adrien Gobat

France

25.32%

Average Odds

1.21 / 4.05

Market probability

77.00% / 23.00%

Why This Prediction?

Daniel Masur is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1602 vs 1449), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1599 vs 1455) and more wins on hard courts (136 vs 8).

Player Comparison

1602.1 Elo 1449.3

1598.6 Elo (surface) 1455.2

217 Wins (Challenger) 8

136 Wins (surface) 8

7 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.034 Dominance ratio 0.887

378 Rank 1114

31.8 Age 25.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Daniel Masur

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Adrien Gobat

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-13.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Masur Adrien Gobat

1st Serve In %

62.5%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

70.0%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.8%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.48

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

43.3%

62.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.5%

65.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.4%

49.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.3%

30.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.0%

49.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Masur Adrien Gobat

Break Points Saved %

64.9%

—

Break Points Converted %

40.4%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.8%

63.1%

Break Points Converted %

30.3%

39.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Daniel Masur 0 – 0 Adrien Gobat

Hard Rennes challenger · 2026-09-13

qualification - 1. round

Daniel Masur #378

Adrien Gobat #1114

6-4 6-4

6 Aces 9

2 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

31 First Serve Won 28

10 Second Serve Won 10

2 Break Points Saved 6

2 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.0

Daniel Masur vs Adrien Gobat — Prediction