ATP tennis predict — Daniel Elahi Galan vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Challenger Clay Szczecin challenger · R16 17:00

Predicted probability

Daniel Elahi Galan

Colombia

53.67%

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Spain

46.33%

Average Odds

1.71 / 2.03

Market probability

54.28% / 45.72%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1712.2 Elo 1668.9

1685.0 Elo (surface) 1673.8

232 Wins (Challenger) 131

192 Wins (surface) 128

9 Last 15 form 7

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.145 Dominance ratio 1.109

392 Rank 233

30.2 Age 27.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Daniel Elahi Galan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–8L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–3L · 72.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Elahi Galan Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

1st Serve In %

63.8%

66.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.7%

64.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.9%

45.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.1%

27.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.8%

50.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.7%

61.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.9%

64.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.3%

46.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.8%

39.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.4%

53.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.27

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Elahi Galan Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Break Points Saved %

51.7%

62.2%

Break Points Converted %

49.1%

34.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.5%

61.1%

Break Points Converted %

46.9%

51.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Daniel Elahi Galan 1 – 0 Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Clay Szczecin challenger · 2026-09-17

R16

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo #233

Daniel Elahi Galan #392

6-0 6-3

1 Aces 0

1 Double Faults 0

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

14 First Serve Won 22

4 Second Serve Won 11

1 Break Points Saved 2

5 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.0 Average Odds 1.7

Clay Szczecin CH · 2025-09-08

R32

Daniel Elahi Galan #131

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo #297

6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(4)

4 Aces 4

6 Double Faults 3

131 Service Points 106

82 First Serve In 66

59 First Serve Won 43

20 Second Serve Won 21

6 Break Points Saved 6

10 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Daniel Elahi Galan vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo — Prediction