ATP tennis predict — Daniel Elahi Galan vs Mika Petkovic

Challenger Clay Bonn challenger · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Daniel Elahi Galan

Colombia

54.92%

Mika Petkovic

Germany

45.08%

Average Odds

1.48 / 2.53

Market probability

63.09% / 36.91%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1662.8 Elo 1626.0

1661.7 Elo (surface) 1617.0

226 Wins (Challenger) 12

186 Wins (surface) 10

9 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.208 Dominance ratio 0.856

538 Rank 529

30.1 Age 19.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Daniel Elahi Galan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–8L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Mika Petkovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–9L · 18.2%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Elahi Galan Mika Petkovic

1st Serve In %

63.8%

58.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.7%

61.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.9%

47.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.1%

21.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.8%

45.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.11

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.42

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.7%

53.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.9%

75.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.3%

52.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.8%

36.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.4%

45.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Elahi Galan Mika Petkovic

Break Points Saved %

51.7%

63.2%

Break Points Converted %

49.1%

28.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.5%

69.6%

Break Points Converted %

46.9%

52.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Daniel Elahi Galan 0 – 0 Mika Petkovic

Clay Bonn challenger · 2026-07-27

qualification - round of 16

Daniel Elahi Galan #290

Mika Petkovic #428

6-4 6-3

5 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 4

58 Service Points 65

38 First Serve In 36

31 First Serve Won 25

11 Second Serve Won 13

3 Break Points Saved 3

4 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Daniel Elahi Galan vs Mika Petkovic — Prediction