ATP tennis predict — Daniel Elahi Galan vs Michiel De Krom

Challenger Clay Bonn challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Daniel Elahi Galan

Colombia

91.56%

Michiel De Krom

Netherlands

8.44%

Average Odds

1.10 / 6.05

Market probability

84.62% / 15.38%

Why This Prediction?

Daniel Elahi Galan is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1661 vs 1301), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1659 vs 1315) and more wins on clay courts (185 vs 7).

Player Comparison

1660.7 Elo 1300.6

1659.1 Elo (surface) 1314.7

225 Wins (Challenger) 7

185 Wins (surface) 7

9 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.081 Dominance ratio 0.966

287 Rank 739

30.1 Age 28.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Daniel Elahi Galan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–8L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Michiel De Krom

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Elahi Galan Michiel De Krom

1st Serve In %

63.8%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

66.7%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.8%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.32

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.7%

65.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.9%

65.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.3%

50.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.8%

26.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.4%

46.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Elahi Galan Michiel De Krom

Break Points Saved %

51.7%

—

Break Points Converted %

49.1%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.5%

61.7%

Break Points Converted %

46.9%

30.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Daniel Elahi Galan 0 – 0 Michiel De Krom

Clay Bonn challenger · 2026-07-26

qualification - 1. round

Daniel Elahi Galan #538

Michiel De Krom #555

6-2 6-2

6 Aces 0

3 Double Faults 4

48 Service Points 62

26 First Serve In 39

22 First Serve Won 22

11 Second Serve Won 7

3 Break Points Saved 6

4 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 6.0

Daniel Elahi Galan vs Michiel De Krom — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Daniel Elahi Galan — Last 10

Michiel De Krom — Last 10