ATP tennis predict — Daniel Elahi Galan vs Michael Vrbensky

Challenger Clay Szczecin challenger · qualification - 1. round 10:30

Predicted probability

Daniel Elahi Galan

Colombia

82.12%

Michael Vrbensky

Czech Republic

17.88%

Average Odds

1.17 / 4.51

Market probability

79.40% / 20.60%

Why This Prediction?

Daniel Elahi Galan is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1667 vs 1416), a higher Elo rating (1698 vs 1433) and more wins on clay courts (191 vs 76).

Player Comparison

1697.9 Elo 1432.7

1667.3 Elo (surface) 1415.6

231 Wins (Challenger) 96

191 Wins (surface) 76

8 Last 15 form 3

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.145 Dominance ratio 1.105

335 Rank 714

30.2 Age 26.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Daniel Elahi Galan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–8L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Michael Vrbensky

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Elahi Galan Michael Vrbensky

1st Serve In %

63.8%

57.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.7%

61.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.9%

49.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.1%

34.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.8%

61.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.24

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.7%

56.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.9%

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.3%

51.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.8%

33.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.4%

53.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Elahi Galan Michael Vrbensky

Break Points Saved %

51.7%

51.9%

Break Points Converted %

49.1%

51.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.5%

58.3%

Break Points Converted %

46.9%

45.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Daniel Elahi Galan and Michael Vrbensky have never played each other.

Daniel Elahi Galan vs Michael Vrbensky — Prediction