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Daniel Elahi Galan vs Max Hans Rehberg — Prediction

Challenger Clay Bonn challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Daniel Elahi Galan

Colombia

58.27%

Max Hans Rehberg

Germany

41.73%

Average Odds

2.19  /  1.62

Market probability

42.52%  /  57.48%

Why This Prediction?

Daniel Elahi Galan is the favorite because he has a stronger return game (41.1% vs 32.6% of return points won), more wins on clay courts (61 vs 2) and a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1676 vs 1623).

Player Comparison

1678.9 Elo 1662.6
1676.4 Elo (surface) 1623.0
228 Wins (Challenger) 87
188 Wins (surface) 42
10 Last 15 form 9
1 Head-to-head wins 1
1.248 Dominance ratio 1.003
290 Rank 339
30.1 Age 22.9
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Daniel Elahi Galan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–8L · 33.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Max Hans Rehberg

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–6L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Elahi Galan Max Hans Rehberg

1st Serve In %

63.8%
67.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.7%
62.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.9%
44.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.1%
27.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.8%
49.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.32
0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31
0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.7%
62.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.9%
70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.3%
51.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.8%
32.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.4%
45.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.28
0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14
0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Elahi Galan Max Hans Rehberg

Break Points Saved %

51.7%
47.5%

Break Points Converted %

49.1%
42.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.5%
66.7%

Break Points Converted %

46.9%
46.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Daniel Elahi Galan 11 Max Hans Rehberg

Clay Bonn challenger · 2026-07-30
5 Aces 2
3 Double Faults 1
116 Service Points 114
74 First Serve In 81
55 First Serve Won 54
20 Second Serve Won 22
4 Break Points Saved 5
6 Break Points Faced 6
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
2.2 Average Odds 1.6
Clay Heilbronn challenger · 2026-06-02
6-3 7-5
3 Aces 2
1 Double Faults 4
58 Service Points 72
39 First Serve In 42
22 First Serve Won 28
11 Second Serve Won 21
1 Break Points Saved 5
4 Break Points Faced 6
11 Winners 29
28 Unforced Errors 28
2.1 Average Odds 1.7
Clay Hamburg · 2023-07-24
4-6 7-6(5) 6-3
4 Aces 3
3 Double Faults 6
106 Service Points 104
62 First Serve In 65
40 First Serve Won 35
22 Second Serve Won 21
7 Break Points Saved 8
12 Break Points Faced 14
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Daniel Elahi Galan — Last 10

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Max Hans Rehberg — Last 10

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