ATP tennis predict — Daniel Elahi Galan vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly

Challenger Clay Tampere challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Daniel Elahi Galan

Colombia

70.91%

Gilles Arnaud Bailly

Belgium

29.09%

Average Odds

1.55 / 2.33

Market probability

60.05% / 39.95%

Why This Prediction?

Daniel Elahi Galan is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1674 vs 1504), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1675 vs 1490) and more wins on clay courts (185 vs 17).

Player Comparison

1674.3 Elo 1504.5

1675.4 Elo (surface) 1489.8

225 Wins (Challenger) 19

185 Wins (surface) 17

10 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.080 Dominance ratio 1.047

287 Rank 205

30.1 Age 20.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Daniel Elahi Galan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–8L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Gilles Arnaud Bailly

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Elahi Galan Gilles Arnaud Bailly

1st Serve In %

63.8%

64.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.7%

71.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.9%

51.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.1%

26.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.8%

50.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.7%

61.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.9%

64.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.3%

51.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.8%

36.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.4%

54.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Elahi Galan Gilles Arnaud Bailly

Break Points Saved %

51.7%

76.0%

Break Points Converted %

49.1%

42.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.5%

59.5%

Break Points Converted %

46.9%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Daniel Elahi Galan 0 – 0 Gilles Arnaud Bailly

Clay Tampere challenger · 2026-07-20

1. round

Gilles Arnaud Bailly #205

Daniel Elahi Galan #287

7-6 6-2

0 Aces 1

0 Double Faults 1

73 Service Points 71

56 First Serve In 43

36 First Serve Won 33

7 Second Serve Won 17

4 Break Points Saved 4

6 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.3 Average Odds 1.6

Daniel Elahi Galan vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly — Prediction