ATP tennis predict — Daniel Elahi Galan vs Filippo Romano

Challenger Clay Bunschoten challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Daniel Elahi Galan

Colombia

64.23%

Filippo Romano

Italy

35.77%

Average Odds

1.43 / 2.66

Market probability

65.04% / 34.96%

Why This Prediction?

Daniel Elahi Galan is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1680 vs 1512), more wins on clay courts (184 vs 16) and a higher Elo rating (1676 vs 1617).

Player Comparison

1676.4 Elo 1617.4

1680.4 Elo (surface) 1512.0

224 Wins (Challenger) 35

184 Wins (surface) 16

10 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.158 Dominance ratio 0.937

304 Rank 308

30.1 Age 21.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Daniel Elahi Galan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–8L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Filippo Romano

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Elahi Galan Filippo Romano

1st Serve In %

63.8%

76.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.7%

87.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.9%

70.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.1%

30.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.8%

77.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.00

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.7%

64.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.9%

67.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.3%

48.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.8%

34.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.4%

49.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Elahi Galan Filippo Romano

Break Points Saved %

51.7%

—

Break Points Converted %

49.1%

80.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.5%

59.4%

Break Points Converted %

46.9%

36.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Daniel Elahi Galan 0 – 0 Filippo Romano

Clay Bunschoten challenger · 2026-07-15

R16

Daniel Elahi Galan #304

Filippo Romano #308

7-5 6-4

6 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 1

80 Service Points 55

55 First Serve In 41

34 First Serve Won 32

13 Second Serve Won 10

6 Break Points Saved 0

9 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.7

Daniel Elahi Galan vs Filippo Romano — Prediction