ATP tennis predict — Daniel Elahi Galan vs Federico Agustin Gomez

Challenger Clay Todi challenger · R16 20:30

Predicted probability

Daniel Elahi Galan

Colombia

60.29%

Federico Agustin Gomez

Argentina

39.71%

Average Odds

2.14 / 1.65

Market probability

43.54% / 56.46%

Why This Prediction?

Daniel Elahi Galan is the favorite because he has more wins on clay courts (191 vs 76), a higher Elo rating (1676 vs 1629) and a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1673 vs 1645).

Player Comparison

1676.1 Elo 1629.0

1672.5 Elo (surface) 1644.6

231 Wins (Challenger) 96

191 Wins (surface) 76

9 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.189 Dominance ratio 0.846

271 Rank 174

30.2 Age 29.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Daniel Elahi Galan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–8L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Federico Agustin Gomez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Elahi Galan Federico Agustin Gomez

1st Serve In %

63.8%

62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.7%

72.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.9%

45.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.1%

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.8%

54.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.7%

66.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.9%

62.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.3%

47.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.8%

31.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.4%

48.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Elahi Galan Federico Agustin Gomez

Break Points Saved %

51.7%

51.8%

Break Points Converted %

49.1%

34.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.5%

52.3%

Break Points Converted %

46.9%

41.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Daniel Elahi Galan 0 – 0 Federico Agustin Gomez

Clay Todi challenger · 2026-08-12

R16

Federico Agustin Gomez #174

Daniel Elahi Galan #271

7-5 6-4

2 Aces 3

0 Double Faults 1

71 Service Points 70

44 First Serve In 48

31 First Serve Won 38

15 Second Serve Won 12

2 Break Points Saved 4

4 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.1

Daniel Elahi Galan vs Federico Agustin Gomez — Prediction