ATP tennis predict — Daniel Elahi Galan vs Carlos Sanchez Jover

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · R16 15:30

Predicted probability

Daniel Elahi Galan

Colombia

58.69%

Carlos Sanchez Jover

Spain

41.31%

Average Odds

1.35 / 3.02

Market probability

69.11% / 30.89%

Why This Prediction?

Daniel Elahi Galan is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (67.6% vs 56.8% of service points won), more wins on clay courts (190 vs 84) and a higher Elo rating (1680 vs 1620).

Player Comparison

1680.2 Elo 1620.2

1676.2 Elo (surface) 1641.2

230 Wins (Challenger) 89

190 Wins (surface) 84

10 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.157 Dominance ratio 0.955

271 Rank 377

30.1 Age 26.0

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Daniel Elahi Galan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–8L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Carlos Sanchez Jover

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Elahi Galan Carlos Sanchez Jover

1st Serve In %

63.8%

64.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.7%

63.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.9%

38.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.1%

35.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.8%

46.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.7%

61.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.9%

59.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.3%

49.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.8%

39.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.4%

54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Elahi Galan Carlos Sanchez Jover

Break Points Saved %

51.7%

58.3%

Break Points Converted %

49.1%

30.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.5%

58.6%

Break Points Converted %

46.9%

37.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Daniel Elahi Galan 0 – 0 Carlos Sanchez Jover

Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · 2026-08-05

R16

Carlos Sanchez Jover #377

Daniel Elahi Galan #271

6-2

1 Aces 0

4 Double Faults 0

32 Service Points 30

15 First Serve In 23

11 First Serve Won 14

5 Second Serve Won 6

2 Break Points Saved 2

4 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3.0 Average Odds 1.4

Daniel Elahi Galan vs Carlos Sanchez Jover — Prediction