ATP tennis predict — Daniel Elahi Galan vs Calvin Hemery

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 4 challenger · 1. round 14:00

Predicted probability

Daniel Elahi Galan

Colombia

59.01%

Calvin Hemery

France

40.99%

Average Odds

1.57 / 2.20

Market probability

58.36% / 41.64%

Why This Prediction?

Daniel Elahi Galan is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1702 vs 1636), more wins on clay courts (192 vs 146) and a stronger serve (66.8% vs 54.3% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1701.8 Elo 1636.3

1673.9 Elo (surface) 1649.5

232 Wins (Challenger) 228

192 Wins (surface) 146

8 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.145 Dominance ratio 0.845

368 Rank 321

30.3 Age 31.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Daniel Elahi Galan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–8L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Calvin Hemery

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Elahi Galan Calvin Hemery

1st Serve In %

63.8%

66.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.7%

72.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.9%

46.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.1%

22.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.8%

50.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.7%

62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.9%

65.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.3%

42.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.8%

35.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.4%

46.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Elahi Galan Calvin Hemery

Break Points Saved %

51.7%

63.1%

Break Points Converted %

49.1%

40.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.5%

57.8%

Break Points Converted %

46.9%

34.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Daniel Elahi Galan 0 – 0 Calvin Hemery

Clay Plovdiv 4 challenger · 2026-09-21

1. round

Calvin Hemery #321

Daniel Elahi Galan #368

6-7 7-6 7-6

8 Aces 4

7 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

66 First Serve Won 54

20 Second Serve Won 25

6 Break Points Saved 4

10 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.2 Average Odds 1.6

Daniel Elahi Galan vs Calvin Hemery — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Daniel Elahi Galan — Last 10

Calvin Hemery — Last 10