ATP tennis predict — Daniel Altmaier vs Raphael Collignon

ATP Clay Kitzbühel · 1. round

Predicted probability

Daniel Altmaier

Germany

44.17%

Raphael Collignon

Belgium

55.83%

Average Odds

2.31 / 1.59

Market probability

40.77% / 59.23%

Why This Prediction?

Raphael Collignon is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1839 vs 1754), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1811 vs 1781) and a stronger serve (69.5% vs 64.9% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1753.6 Elo 1838.5

1780.7 Elo (surface) 1810.8

113 Wins 31

59 Wins (surface) 12

8 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.164 Dominance ratio 1.023

61 Rank 37

27.8 Age 24.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Daniel Altmaier

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Raphael Collignon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–5L · 44.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Altmaier Raphael Collignon

1st Serve In %

61.3%

59.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.8%

74.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.1%

47.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.4%

27.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

47.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.47

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.0%

68.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.0%

74.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.7%

56.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.5%

38.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

52.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.58

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Altmaier Raphael Collignon

Break Points Saved %

61.4%

63.4%

Break Points Converted %

33.8%

29.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.5%

73.7%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

51.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Daniel Altmaier 0 – 0 Raphael Collignon

Clay Kitzbühel · 2026-07-21

1. round

Daniel Altmaier #61

Raphael Collignon #37

6-3 6-2

3 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 3

68 Service Points 54

47 First Serve In 31

37 First Serve Won 23

8 Second Serve Won 8

7 Break Points Saved 2

7 Break Points Faced 5

24 Winners 13

24 Unforced Errors 24

2.3 Average Odds 1.6

Daniel Altmaier vs Raphael Collignon — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Daniel Altmaier — Last 10

Raphael Collignon — Last 10