ATP tennis predict — Daniel Altmaier vs Luciano Darderi

ATP Clay Bastad · R16

Predicted probability

Daniel Altmaier

Germany

50.86%

Luciano Darderi

Italy

49.14%

Average Odds

2.45 / 1.54

Market probability

38.60% / 61.40%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1764.9 Elo 1738.1

1793.7 Elo (surface) 1808.6

113 Wins 85

59 Wins (surface) 65

8 Last 15 form 9

2 Head-to-head wins 1

1.118 Dominance ratio 1.054

60 Rank 18

27.8 Age 24.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Daniel Altmaier

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Luciano Darderi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Altmaier Luciano Darderi

1st Serve In %

61.3%

58.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.8%

71.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.1%

48.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.4%

33.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.77

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.0%

52.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.0%

71.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.7%

52.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.5%

36.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

57.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.58

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Altmaier Luciano Darderi

Break Points Saved %

61.4%

68.8%

Break Points Converted %

33.8%

40.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.5%

71.2%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

48.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Daniel Altmaier 2 – 1 Luciano Darderi

Clay Bastad · 2026-07-15

R16

Luciano Darderi #18

Daniel Altmaier #60

6-4 6-4

3 Aces 6

1 Double Faults 2

73 Service Points 63

41 First Serve In 36

29 First Serve Won 29

14 Second Serve Won 14

7 Break Points Saved 1

9 Break Points Faced 1

23 Winners 21

40 Unforced Errors 28

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Hard Belgrade · 2024-11-04

R32

Daniel Altmaier #93

Luciano Darderi #43

7-6(1) 6-3

10 Aces 2

1 Double Faults 0

60 Service Points 52

43 First Serve In 29

35 First Serve Won 21

12 Second Serve Won 15

0 Break Points Saved 0

0 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Perugia CH · 2024-06-10

SF

Luciano Darderi #41

Daniel Altmaier #89

7-6(4) 6-3

6 Aces 13

0 Double Faults 1

78 Service Points 60

41 First Serve In 31

30 First Serve Won 24

19 Second Serve Won 13

3 Break Points Saved 4

5 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Cordenons CH · 2020-08-31

R16

Daniel Altmaier #221

Luciano Darderi #1477

6-4 6-2

1 Aces 2

3 Double Faults 1

54 Service Points 64

26 First Serve In 38

22 First Serve Won 23

15 Second Serve Won 10

1 Break Points Saved 6

2 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Daniel Altmaier vs Luciano Darderi — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Daniel Altmaier — Last 10

Luciano Darderi — Last 10