ATP tennis predict — Daniel Altmaier vs Ignacio Buse

ATP Hard Winston Salem · R16 20:00

Predicted probability

Daniel Altmaier

Germany

54.56%

Ignacio Buse

Peru

45.44%

Average Odds

1.96 / 1.79

Market probability

47.73% / 52.27%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1763.0 Elo 1767.4

1612.6 Elo (surface) 1607.9

117 Wins 36

44 Wins (surface) 8

8 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.045 Dominance ratio 0.778

57 Rank 36

28.0 Age 22.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Daniel Altmaier

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Ignacio Buse

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Altmaier Ignacio Buse

1st Serve In %

61.3%

64.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.8%

64.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.1%

47.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.4%

25.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

52.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.0%

61.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.0%

69.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.7%

49.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.5%

37.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

51.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.58

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Altmaier Ignacio Buse

Break Points Saved %

61.4%

56.0%

Break Points Converted %

33.8%

43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.5%

54.8%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

34.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Daniel Altmaier 0 – 1 Ignacio Buse

Hard Winston Salem · 2026-08-26

R16

Ignacio Buse #36

Daniel Altmaier #57

7-6 7-5

5 Aces 5

3 Double Faults 2

83 Service Points 85

53 First Serve In 51

38 First Serve Won 40

14 Second Serve Won 15

7 Break Points Saved 4

10 Break Points Faced 6

31 Winners 19

34 Unforced Errors 19

1.8 Average Odds 2.0

Hard Cancun CH · 2025-08-12

QF

Ignacio Buse #140

Daniel Altmaier #60

3-6 6-2 6-3

6 Aces 4

4 Double Faults 5

103 Service Points 77

56 First Serve In 48

38 First Serve Won 32

25 Second Serve Won 14

9 Break Points Saved 6

11 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Daniel Altmaier vs Ignacio Buse — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Daniel Altmaier — Last 10

Ignacio Buse — Last 10