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Daniel Altmaier vs Aleksandar Vukic — Prediction

ATP Hard Montreal · 1. round

Predicted probability

Daniel Altmaier

Germany

38.85%

Aleksandar Vukic

Australia

61.15%

Average Odds

2.34  /  1.60

Market probability

40.61%  /  59.39%

Why This Prediction?

Aleksandar Vukic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1767 vs 1582), a stronger return game (43.3% vs 38.1% of return points won) and more wins on hard courts (113 vs 54).

Player Comparison

1756.6 Elo 1715.7
1582.3 Elo (surface) 1767.2
114 Wins 119
41 Wins (surface) 80
8 Last 15 form 8
1 Head-to-head wins 2
1.213 Dominance ratio 1.428
60 Rank 101
27.9 Age 30.3
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Daniel Altmaier

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–3L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–6L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Aleksandar Vukic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–2L · 71.4%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Altmaier Aleksandar Vukic

1st Serve In %

61.3%
62.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.8%
80.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.1%
55.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.4%
28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%
53.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.50
1.06

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35
0.20

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.0%
60.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.0%
78.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.7%
52.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.5%
29.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%
51.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.58
0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19
0.13

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Daniel Altmaier Aleksandar Vukic

Break Points Saved %

61.4%
65.8%

Break Points Converted %

33.8%
35.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.5%
68.9%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%
33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Daniel Altmaier 1 – 2 Aleksandar Vukic

Hard Montreal · 2026-08-04

1. round

Daniel Altmaier #60

Aleksandar Vukic #101

6-7 7-6 6-4
6 Aces 11
3 Double Faults 7
123 Service Points 122
68 First Serve In 70
50 First Serve Won 48
25 Second Serve Won 29
4 Break Points Saved 9
8 Break Points Faced 12
28 Winners 31
39 Unforced Errors 39
2.3 Average Odds 1.6
Hard Tokyo · 2025-09-24

R16

Aleksandar Vukic #95

Daniel Altmaier #50

6-4 6-2
7 Aces 8
0 Double Faults 5
50 Service Points 57
30 First Serve In 34
23 First Serve Won 23
14 Second Serve Won 10
0 Break Points Saved 3
0 Break Points Faced 6
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Grass Wimbledon · 2023-07-03

R128

Aleksandar Vukic #87

Daniel Altmaier #66

6-3 7-6(1) 3-6 7-5
11 Aces 6
3 Double Faults 2
115 Service Points 129
75 First Serve In 79
59 First Serve Won 55
21 Second Serve Won 26
2 Break Points Saved 5
5 Break Points Faced 10
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Phoenix CH · 2022-03-14

R32

Daniel Altmaier #79

Aleksandar Vukic #125

6-1 3-6 6-4
8 Aces 6
0 Double Faults 4
87 Service Points 78
59 First Serve In 42
43 First Serve Won 33
13 Second Serve Won 16
6 Break Points Saved 5
8 Break Points Faced 9
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Daniel Altmaier — Last 10

L L W L W L W L W L

Aleksandar Vukic — Last 10

L L L W W L L W L W